POLICY · MARKETPLACES · LOGISTICS

ONDC 2.0: Profit Pools, Not Pilots

Settlement, catalog standards, logistics arbitrage — and who actually makes money when volumes get real.
By bataSutra Editorial · August 18, 2025
In this piece:
  • ONDC’s money map: BA, SA, LSP, PSP, and gateway roles
  • Settlement flows & working-capital traps
  • Catalog correctness: why schema beats coupons
  • Logistics arbitrage: city density, batching, and SLAs
  • Scorecard: who wins as AOV and order density rise

The short

  • Discovery is commoditising. Buyer Apps (BAs) win via UX, trust, and payments; price alone is a race to zero.
  • Catalog is margin. Clean taxonomy, attributes, and availability accuracy reduce cancellations, refunds, and reattempt costs.
  • Logistics is the lever. City-level density, micro-fulfilment, and batching economics decide contribution margins.
  • Settlement discipline matters. Late settlements and reconciliation leakage crush small sellers’ working capital.

Who this applies to

Buyer Apps (BA)

Own demand, payments, and post-order CX. Trust & UX Repeat

Seller Apps (SA) & SMEs

Onboard, normalise, and service supply; minimise cancellations. Fill-rate Catalog hygiene

Logistics (LSP)

First–mid–last mile; SLA, NDR, and return costs define profitability. Density Routing

Gateways / PSPs

Network policies, payments, and dispute rails; keep failure loops tight. Reliability

Settlement & working capital

Two things break unit economics: refund loops (cancellations, unavailable inventory) and settlement slippage (late credit, partial reconciliation). For small sellers, a 3–7 day lag can choke reorder capacity.

  • Principle: Tie BA/SA incentives to first-attempt delivery and same-day reconciliation windows.
  • Operational: Auto-close orders after proof-of-delivery; trigger settlement minus network fees and LSP dues.
  • Data: Keep a single source of truth for order state; suppress duplicate callbacks to avoid ghost refunds.

Catalog standards = fewer losses

Attribute completeness (brand, size/pack, MRP, shelf-life, veg/non-veg, HSN) and stock freshness lower NDR/returns by double-digit percentages in dense categories like grocery and pharma-light.

Checklist: Mandatory attributes per category, image count ≥3, last-updated timestamp, and hard blocks on stale listings.

Logistics arbitrage

Three knobs move contribution margin:

  1. Density: Orders per km per hour. Push slotting and hyperlocal assortments.
  2. Batching: Two-stop merges with SLA headroom can shave 12–20% cost on short routes.
  3. Returns containment: Pre-delivery confirmation for high-NDR SKUs; doorstep QC for perishables.

Quick table — where the money sits

ActorProfit poolPressure points
Buyer App Payments, cross-sell, ads, subscriptions CAC vs LTV, refund handling, chargebacks
Seller App Onboarding fees, SaaS tools, fulfilment add-ons Catalog QA cost, support load, churn
LSP Dense lanes, batching, reverse-logistics fees NDR, SLA penalties, idle time
Gateway/PSP TPV take-rate, value-added fraud tools Disputes TAT, peak reliability

Scorecard — when do profits show up?

  • AOV ↑ + Density ↑: BA ads/subscriptions and LSP batching margins expand.
  • Catalog accuracy ↑: SA support costs fall; first-attempt deliveries rise.
  • Settlement T+1: Seller churn drops; supply depth improves without subsidies.

Playbook to move from pilot to profit

For Buyer Apps

  • Enforce attribute completeness; penalise stale stock.
  • Offer slots, not promises—build SLA headroom for batching.
  • Subscription for free-returns threshold; cap abuse.

For Seller Apps

  • Auto-sync inventory; lock low-availability SKUs.
  • Standardised imagery; no “variant ambiguity”.
  • Weekly cohort reviews: NDR, cancellations, and repeat.

One-line takeaway

ONDC profits don’t come from discounts—they come from clean catalogs, dense routes, and disciplined settlement.